Friday, December 15, 2023

Season 11 - Playoff Preview

Our 11th regular season has come to a close and our playoff field has been set.  Once again, South has been crowned our regular season champ.  He finished with a 22-6 record and also posted the highest point total although not as dominant as previous years.  We noted last week, Finken and Chris secured their spots in the playoffs so it came down to Mitch and Abel for the last spot.  Jared didn’t feel overly comfortable with the idea of making the playoffs in back-to-back years, so he decided to spot Mitch a player by starting an inactive Stevenson on Thursday night.  With Dobbs taking both himself and Addison out of the equation, Abel found himself in the more familiar and comfortable confines of being out. As the old saying goes, you can lead a horse to water but you can't make Abel set a full lineup.  And when it comes to horses, he all know Mitch is the horse whisperer.

 


That left Garrett with a choice, take on the strongest opponent over 2 weeks or find the weakest and guarantee a spot in the finals.  He chose the latter by naming Finken as his opponent.  This makes sense as Finken’s QB options are as weak as his attempts at growing facial hair and his RBs are as unpredictable as a Kyle 4-bid.  Reached for comment, South had this to share “Like scolding Riley on the whirlyball court, I thought it was necessary or teach Finken a lesson.  You can’t just snatch up the backup TE I held for over a year six weeks after I drop him and expect no repercussions.”  That leaves Mitch and Chris to a two week dual on the other side for the chance in the title match, which we will delve into later. 

 

South choosing Finken.

First, let’s take a look at the Trump “Can’t Hack It” Bracket.  As we’re sure everyone remembers, we changed the format of this so that there’s actually something at stake.  All four teams will play a 3-week round-robin.  The team with the worst record will be responsible for the food at the draft.  The team with the 2nd-worst record will supply the drinks.  Record will supersede but points scored will break the tie.  This means we could have a new caterer after a few years of Kyle setting our table.  Let’s just hope it’s not Riley.  Then we’ll all be relegated to eating ass at an orgy in the back of an Osceola townie bar. 

 

Riley's idea of a great meal after his time in San Fran...

Before we move on, let’s also note that the top 4 draft order is now set and updated in the spreadsheet.  Results were tabulated by South’s Excel prowess and I guess we’re all just going to assume he got it right because none of us are going back to do that work.  Kyle was awarded the #1 pick by a pretty safe margin.  Word is he’s already submitted his card for Marvin Harrison Jr but another TE cannot be ruled out to fill the 3rd Flex spot once we allow it to go with LaPorta, McBride and Mayer.  Abel finished with the #2 pick but had already traded that to Lansink in their dubious draft day deal that moved him up two spots and added the perpetually underrated but always disappointing Kirk Cousins to his roster.  Don’t think Kevin Costner was steering the ship on that one Jared.  

Riley grabbed #3 by the cock ring for Mitch, which was gift wrapped by Kyle in the Hock deal.  Side note, Kyle, there’s your 4th TE for the Flex spot right there and you would’ve still had the 3rd pick.  Seth will pick 4th and had the 3rd highest point potential in the league.  This shows that Seth’s max points were there to make the playoffs and try to defend his title.  But it also shows that outside of sexual partners, his decision making is about as good as Brandon Staley on TNF. 

 

Seth setting his line-up each week.

But enough of all that, we have months to dig into draft talk.  Now let’s get to the playoff matchups…

 

Fuck It Three vs. Rollin’ 4 Deep

South comes into the playoffs on a hot streak after winning 4 in a row despite starting Jake Browning, and he is 6-0 in head-to-head matchups against the other playoff qualifiers.  His 49ers are up against the hapless Cardinals in a game where they should be able to name their own score and Kyren could do the same against the Commanders.  While Finken’s match-ups aren’t bad this week, they’re less ideal next week.  His only hope may be that Tyreeeeek and JJ are actually hurt and can’t make a go of it.  Finken’s QB combo of Howell and Love has been a pleasant surprise on the season but it’ll take a lot of overcome the 1-2-3-4 punch of CMC, Kyren, JJ and Tyreeeeeek.  South is currently a 25-point favorite and swept the season series.  We do not see much changing now.  FIT rolls 327.69-286.97

 


If We’re Using Logic vs. Play It Backwards

After facing each other in Week 14, Chris and Mitch get to run in back for the next two weeks now.  Mitch glided by Abel for the last playoff berth even after losing his 3 previous games.  Had he not made the playoffs, his max point total was the 2nd worst in the league and would’ve resulted in him having his choice of WRs after Kyle to pair up with his stable of senior citizen pass catchers.  Mitch swept the season series against Chris but is currently a slight underdog.  Mitch’s line-up is mostly lined with green match-ups except his QBs, who could both in line for rough days again great defenses.  Chris is feeling pretty good about the matchup as he plans to cheat his way to a victory either way.  The commissioner’s unbreakable password of BOOBIES does not present an obstacle to either his hacking skills or his moral compass.  IWUL goes to his 14th CNK finals 293.07-276.54


Chris justifying his actions.

And as always, just wanted to say thanks to everyone for this group.  This will likely be the last rankings before Chris forgets about the summer post-draft predictions so wanted to wish everyone a happy holidays.  It's fun to do these but we're all truly lucky to have a group where we can do something like this in good humor.  Take care and everyone have a Merry Christmas.  



Wednesday, December 6, 2023

Season 11 - Week 13

Week 13 is in the books and we only have one precious week of our regular season left before the fake football playoffs begin.  It’s been an entertaining season as there’s been lots of movement up and down.  And while once again, South’s clinched the #1 seed, he has been fallible and somehow found a way to take 6 losses against the bottom-feeders of the league giving hope to all others. 

Heading into our final week, there’s really only one spot left in the playoff picture.  As mentioned, South has locked up his pick of opponents in the 1st round as Finken could match his record but probably won’t outscore him by 245 points.  R4D and IWUL have secured their 6th and 23rd trips to the playoffs, respectively, with very strong performances in the 2nd half of the season.  Pretty impressive them being 2 of our most senior members of the league.    

 


That brings us to the drama, Abel vs. Mitch.  Winner gets the #4 hole, loser gets it in the b-hole.  Both are tied for the same record and face the highest scoring teams in Week 14.  Abel has an 18.5 point lead but has to face South.  Mitch has to overcome that deficit and faces The Traitor (as his daughter affectionately calls Lazer).  Neither come into this final week on a particular hot streak and will likely try to salvage a median-scoring win in order to sneak past the other. 

But we’ll dig deeper into that below as we get on with the Power Rankings…

1. Fuck It Three – Garrett obtained the #1 for the 12th year in a row accordingly to the Lansink League Archive.  Word has it he already has 5 spreadsheets going on possible outcomes and formulas to discover who he should choose to face.  Logic would suggest he choose the weakest opponent guaranteeing himself a place in the title game.  However, game theory would posit that he choose the strongest opponent to beat over a 2 week span and therefore, have a cakewalk in the title game.  He may need to reduce his high fructose corn syrup ratio in his blood stream in order to clear his mind and make the wisest decision.  Otherwise he could be saddled with his 6th runner-up finish in 11 years. 

 

South once again calculating incorrectly in the playoffs.

2. Rollin’ 4 Deep – Finken claimed his playoff spot with a win over Riley last week and rebounded after narrowly missing the playoffs last year.  He’s had a lot of things fall right for him this year despite losing Rodgers in Week 1.  Howell and Love (both waiver adds last year) have each been top 10 QBs to go along with Herbert, which according our research, no one had forecasted. Pollard, Gibbs and Barkley have balanced each other’s roller coaster weeks out and his veteran WRs have been set and forget.  And outside of LaPorta, Kincaid has proven to be the new Pitts, you know if Pitts were actually good at footballing.  When reached for comment on her husband’s recent hot streak, Rachel expressed “surprise at his sudden vigor.”  Stating “he rarely wows for long but I’m glad to see the stamina start to take shape.  Wait, what are we talking about again?” 

 

Finken's emotions from beginning to end of the year.

3. If We’re Using Logic – Chris took care of business these past two weeks but really it was getting those median-score wins in losses against South and Finken (how much did Chris lose to Finken by again?  Everyone should go look again, we’ll wait).  Lansink seems to be peaking at the right time as he hit his first 200+ game in 2 years to clinch his spot.  Even Chase having to catch passes from a different JB didn’t impact his production.  The Power Rankings reached out to Chris’s good friend Donald Trump for comment on his return to the playoffs.  He had this to say, “Possibly it’s one of the reasons, certainly it’s one of the very big reasons, trade and things related to trade, he got in in the first place.  I told him to stay away from CEH but no!  He didn’t listen much like those crooks in Georgia.  But I’m glad to see he’s overcome that mistake.  I’ve been talking about it for a long time, along with many other subjects, frankly.”

 

Chris has all Trump's advisors on stand-by for playoffs strategy. 

4. I’m Out – Getting the median score win in a loss against Chris was the key to staying alive.  He posted the 3rd most points on the week but may have lost TLaw, King Henry, Stevenson and Kirk for at least a week or two.  That means that Abel’s biggest opponent this week may not be South or even Mitch’s point total.  It may be the waiver wire.  He’s getting several guys back off byes to fill some of those spots but without the mystical land of the waiver wire, he may be may be a mere muggle relegated to a closet under the stairs.  We will have to see what sort of magic awaits in Week 14. 

 

The Fantasy Gods to Abel just when he's about to make a playoff run.

5. Play It Backwards – Back in the early stages of the season, we thought Mitch might’ve taken South’s spot as prime contender for the year, but that isn’t the case anymore.  He has lost 3 straight and 4 of the last 5 all while not scoring 150+ since Week 6.  We’re not statistics majors but our spreadsheets show that’s not great.  And he got chopped from the Guillotine League this week too (the curse of Chase strikes again, although this time it was because he didn’t play him).  Kyler and Kamara have bolstered his depth a bit but Ekeler and Kupp both look washed and his flex spots have been erratic at best.  All that being said, he could still sneak into the playoffs and make a run at the title.  Or he could miss them and end up with the 2nd pick.  Quite the conundrum.  When reached for comment on the matter, Aidan indicated that Mitch was unavailable as he was tending to his chores of smoking chickens and watering the horses. 

 

All of us to Mitch after the past 6 weeks.

6. Smells Low – Despite winning the title for most fun love life, Riley’s squad is not keeping up with his real-life scoring.  He barely broke 100 this week and had 3(!) players throw up a cock-ring on the scoreboard.  Despite his hopes early in the year, it’s been another forgettable season.  Luckily, he’s got plenty of threesomes and orgies on the calendar to ease the pain of this forgettable year.  With an orgy of talent at RB, a strong threesome of WRs and the master of the tush-push at QB, Riley only needs to fill in the right tight end in order to be dangerous in 2024.   

 

Be careful what you wish for in a threesome.

7. Off Suit 10s – Kyle may be bringing the draft meal again but he’s come on strong at the end of the year.  After beating South in Week 10, he’s rolled off 2 straight wins against Abel and Mitch and scored median-score wins as well.  He now has a chance in the last week to tie Seth in sharing the worst record.  As we mentioned in our last installment, he’s got some good young pieces to build around for next year and likely the #1 pick again to auction off to anyone but Chris.  Quite an accomplishment for where he was several weeks ago.  The league hasn’t seen a riser like this since all 3 of Chris’s sisters showed up at the Halloween party. 

 

Kyle's ready for the offseason.

8. Ah It’s Early – Even though Seth may not be the worst team, when you go from winning the title to eliminated from playoff contention this early, you deserve this fate. Your team is bad and you should feel bad.