Thursday, November 21, 2019

Season 7 - Playoff Odds


Instead of looking backwards as usual, we’re going to peer into the future of the 2019 fake football season and predict some odds on how the season plays out.  We only have 3 weeks left of the regular season and a few days left until the trade deadline.  Worst of luck to you all…

1.       OS10s is locked and loaded to make a championship run. The playoffs are all but guaranteed at this point after taking out South last week. All of this after being projected as a bottom feeder at the beginning of the year, and being told his Best Ball team was a joke. The only joke for OS10s this year are his beloved Hawkeyes and the “offense” that they run. Playoff Odds – 100% // Championship Game Odds – 70% // Title Odds – 50%

2.       FIT has the team to beat and looks to break through with his first championship in CNK, after finishing runner-up 3 times. Winning the championship means he’ll be making it rain Skittles and Mountain Dew in whatever Vegas strip club we end up at. I am sure that everyone else would agree that the luckiest man on Earth deserves this championship.  Playoff Odds – 100% // Championship Game Odds – 85% // Title Odds – 60%

3.       PIB can’t decide what he wants to be, on the road – off the road – on the road – off the road to the playoffs that is. Injuries and suspensions have caused PIB to be a roller coaster all year. Things look to be balancing themselves out for PIB in the stretch run. He has the workhorses at WR and QB to challenge OS10s, and possibly FIT. His RB depth is what is hurting him. It has been roulette all year long, but it appears Drake has taken the reigns in AZ. That could provide the wheel stability and cruise control he needs to make a championship run. Playoff Odds – 85% // Championship Game Odds – 30% // Title Odds – 15%

4.       I’m Out has wheeled, dealed and drafted a team that will finally get him to the playoffs. His Gophers boat finally sunk a few days ago though, but losing Floyd again will not get him down. If PJ Fleck has taught him anything, it’s that this season is one game at a time, as I’m Out went 1-0 during the Smells Low season this week. Abel will just keep on rowing, hoping for his first “elite” season.  Playoff Odds – 55% // Championship Game Odds – 15% // Title Odds – 5% // Gets on the plane to Vegas Odds – 90%

5.       R4D is trying to make a push to the playoffs, but his recent deal with the devil isn’t working out like he had hoped. He gave up a ton of draft capital to make a run to the championship this year. In order to win the title, he has to make the playoffs first which is definitely not a given at this point. At least R4D has last year and as we all know, Nebraska fans do a great job living in the past. Playoff Odds – 35% // Championship Game Odds – 50% // Title Odds – 35% // Odds of trading Julio or Ingram before the deadline – 35%

6.       Smells Low has a difficult path ahead. He is projected to go 1-3 over the next 4 weeks, not a recipe for success. Also not a recipe for success – being the low scorer for the year when we are doing our draft in Vegas. I have provided a link to the best buffets in Vegas, per Yelp reviewers to make things easier for you. Playoff Odds – 27% // Championship Game Odds – 10% // Title Odds – 3% // Able to afford said buffets - 20%

7.       AIE is out of the playoff race and in Who Cares territory. His luck has been terrible this year – Gordon holding out, DJ not playing (at all), Mahomies dislocating is knee cap, Cara only throwing it to him 5 times a week, the list goes on and on. Playoff Odds – 0% // Gets on the plane to Vegas Odds – 51%

8.       IWUL defines Who Cares territory.  The bright side is that he may have two top 4 picks in the 2020 draft so he’s solely focused on that right now. So much so that it is a bit sketchy of a guy who’s actively tanking to conveniently leave an inactive player in his lineup to guarantee another loss.  Those picks may make his rebuild move a bit quicker and put him in a position to win another 14 titles in 9 years starting in 2020. Playoff Odds – 0% // Odds IWUL has to bring food and drinks to card night – 100%


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